# Census of Middle-earth

## The Noldor

(a) of the Noldor in Valinor, one tithe didn't go to Beleriand [I
suppose it's one tithe of the **males** - those that count in War]
(b) the Edain in Beleriand were less numerous (at least in the
beginning) than the Elves. And there were some thousands of them.

(c) At arrival, Turgon's folk was 1/3 of the total of Fingolfin's folk
(that also included Fingon's folk)

(d) At arrival, Feanor's folk was close to (but less than) 1/2 of the
total number of Noldor

(e) Turgon's army in the Nirnaeth was composed of 10,000 elves

From these data, and supposing that the Elves doubled their numbers in
Beleriand [*], I propose the following numbers,
at arrival:

- Feanor: 7,000 to 9,000 Noldor (how many ships?)
- Fingolfin total: 7,500
- Fingon: 5,000 Noldor
- Turgon: 2,500 Noldor

- Finrod Felagund: 1,500 Noldor

From the initial 144 elves that awoke roughly 1/3 were Noldor,
and roughly half of them went to Valinor, and half of them were male.
So, the initial 12 male Noldor were multiplied to 17,000 males in 4300
Years. If we suppose a constant number (k) of children per couple, and a
period of 100 years between generations, we have:

- Sun Year 1050: 12 male Noldor pre-Eldar
- Sun Year 1060: 12 + 12 * k
- Sun Year 1070: 12 + 12 * k + 12 * k
^{2}
- ...

After 43 generations: 12 * (1 + k + ... + k^{43}) =
12 * (k^{44} - 1) / (k - 1)
So: 12 * (k^{44} - 1) = 17000 * (k - 1)

The solution to this is around k = 1.10, or 2.2 children per couple. So,
at the start of the trip, there would be from 600 to 900 elves, of which
half of them went to Valinor, and half of them were male.

One problem mentioned in the list was that Orome had given
weapons to the travelling elves.
Orome had to bring 150 to 225 weapons - not a great feat of strength
for a Demiurgic Creature!

[*]
Of couse, now I must revise this statement. From the 17,000
Noldor that arrived, 12 * k^{43} = 700 are *young*
(and *fertile*).
Supposing that they married Sindar Elf-maidens, in the 5 generations in
Beleriand they would add more 1400 * (k + k^{2} + ... + k^{5})
elves, or 9500, of the order of the initial estimate.

Return to
Alberto Monteiro's Tolkien Page
Return to
Alberto Monteiro's Home Page

This page was visited
times
Please send any comments to
albmont@centroin.com.br

This page was based on a message sent to the
Tolkien Mailing List
on 1996-06-28, in reply
to
Lalaith and Ecthelion.

**
This page hosted by
Get your own Free Home Page**